I feel like the pro-Israel media has learned to just stop covering Israel because we don't hear about an active war in Lebanon very often.
On other future analysis we are thankfully not likely to have a military action in Venezuela this year. Part of that is owing to us running out the year (almost there). But at one point we thought it was pretty likely. On October 10th we thought it would be 72% likely we'd have a direct military conflict by the end of the year. So good on us for at least delaying it to 2026 or hopefully never.
In fact we are down to only 50% odds of it happening by March 31st. If there is a best time to have a war it's later. Because if later happens often enough you have it never. And that's a good thing.
Also, hold your breath on Marijuana being rescheduled any time soon.
I believe the war prediction with Vz. Maduro knows better than to retaliate…he will be crushed. I predict more cat and mouse stuff until Vz goes broke and Maduro can’t maintain his power.
He's not stupid, people will be harmed, but they won't be crushed quickly nor easily.
Venezuela is a large country with a population ready to resist the hostile takeover and already almost as practiced as Cuba in living under sanctions. It won't be easy for the US, via the military, economically, or global public relations.
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I feel like the pro-Israel media has learned to just stop covering Israel because we don't hear about an active war in Lebanon very often.
On other future analysis we are thankfully not likely to have a military action in Venezuela this year. Part of that is owing to us running out the year (almost there). But at one point we thought it was pretty likely. On October 10th we thought it would be 72% likely we'd have a direct military conflict by the end of the year. So good on us for at least delaying it to 2026 or hopefully never.
In fact we are down to only 50% odds of it happening by March 31st. If there is a best time to have a war it's later. Because if later happens often enough you have it never. And that's a good thing.
Also, hold your breath on Marijuana being rescheduled any time soon.
I believe the war prediction with Vz. Maduro knows better than to retaliate…he will be crushed. I predict more cat and mouse stuff until Vz goes broke and Maduro can’t maintain his power.
He's not stupid, people will be harmed, but they won't be crushed quickly nor easily.
Venezuela is a large country with a population ready to resist the hostile takeover and already almost as practiced as Cuba in living under sanctions. It won't be easy for the US, via the military, economically, or global public relations.