But even before the protests the odds on the US and or Israel striking them in the near horizon were already quite high. I think there were plans to attack them. Polymarket did happen to catch wind of that. The protests are more attached to that attack than an attack would be attached to the protests. The US is trying to set up context for what it wants to do / what Israel wants to have it do.
But what could they strike to help protesters I wonder? Maybe IRGC headquarters, but Israel struck those in June, so could be kept empty in preparation.
The video I posted the other day talked about how Iran's entire state infrastructure is staffed by regime loyalists. The liberal protesters (along with whatever CIA/Mossad backing they have) don't really have a way to change that.
I'm not even sure they have a coherent alternative to their current dictatorship.
Log in
The polymarkets for this have taken off, https://polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by
But even before the protests the odds on the US and or Israel striking them in the near horizon were already quite high. I think there were plans to attack them. Polymarket did happen to catch wind of that. The protests are more attached to that attack than an attack would be attached to the protests. The US is trying to set up context for what it wants to do / what Israel wants to have it do.
But what could they strike to help protesters I wonder? Maybe IRGC headquarters, but Israel struck those in June, so could be kept empty in preparation.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-says-strikes-in-tehran-hit-irgc-headquarters/
The video I posted the other day talked about how Iran's entire state infrastructure is staffed by regime loyalists. The liberal protesters (along with whatever CIA/Mossad backing they have) don't really have a way to change that.
I'm not even sure they have a coherent alternative to their current dictatorship.
I liked this long thread - seems more or less balanced:
https://x.com/IranWonk/status/2010447776807579956