"As of Monday, Trump leads Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris by as close a margin as possible - 0.1% - in the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls."
In addition to the OP data Trump underperforms in polls and unlike in 2020 we don't have the extensive mail-in voting fiasco that favored Democrats. Aside from any questions of a stolen election - Dems simply benefited from Covid.
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it'll be like last time. A totally legit and fair election with no room for questions or speculation! Just like the government says! Weee!
That’s what the odds say. But 60:40 odds are no where close to being in the bag.
"As of Monday, Trump leads Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris by as close a margin as possible - 0.1% - in the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls."
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/28/trump-vs-harris-polls/75880591007/
Looking at the RCP betting odds data he's at almost 63% now. Higher than yesterday.
Archive of the New York Times article in case you get paywalled:
https://archive.is/6Ch7N
In addition to the OP data Trump underperforms in polls and unlike in 2020 we don't have the extensive mail-in voting fiasco that favored Democrats. Aside from any questions of a stolen election - Dems simply benefited from Covid.